2026 Henry County, MO Primary · Actual Vote analysis
Sample comparisons — what this analysis looks like
Ten of the 41 comparisons, opened all the way up: the poll-tape reading beside the official certified figure, and a citation to exactly where that figure sits in the county's own published results — so anyone can check it.
The main report states that every value on the released Fairview tape matches the county’s certified results, except one one-vote difference disclosed in full there. Nobody has to take that on trust: the tape scans the county released are reproduced on this page (each card links to the relevant scan), and the certified Statement of Votes Cast is published on Henry County’s own website, so anyone can check the work. It is just slow, dull work that takes some practice — so this page does ten of them for you, in full.
Neither side has been retyped. On the left is a crop of the county’s scan of the tape — the actual pixels. On the right is the figure Henry County certified, with the exact path to it inside the county’s published Statement of Votes Cast, so you can open that file and find the same number yourself.
How these ten were chosen. By a fixed stride — every fourth row of the comparison dataset in tape order, starting from the first (rows 1, 5, 9, … 37 of the 41) — not by hand, so the selection cannot flatter the outcome. Unlike our video-based analyses, this one has a single provenance: the county released still-image scans rather than volunteer video, and every value was read by a person from those scans (there was no AI transcription step to mix in). Where one crop shows a whole contest, the same crop appears against more than one candidate.
What the poll tape printed
Scott Fitzpatrick — 120 (read by a person from the county's scans)
Official certified result
SCOTT FITZPATRICK — 120
Source & location
Election Results 8-4-2026 Official.pdf
Statement of Votes Cast p.1/54 → STATE AUDITOR (REPUBLICAN PARTY) → FAIRVIEW → Normal = 120 What the poll tape printed
Scott Vincent Vera — 10 (read by a person from the county's scans)
Official certified result
SCOTT VINCENT VERA — 10
Source & location
Election Results 8-4-2026 Official.pdf
Statement of Votes Cast p.2/54 → US REPRESENTATIVE DISTRICT 4 (REPUBLICAN PARTY) → FAIRVIEW → Normal = 10 What the poll tape printed
Jim Kalberloh — 128 (read by a person from the county's scans)
Official certified result
JIM KALBERLOH — 128
Source & location
Election Results 8-4-2026 Official.pdf
Statement of Votes Cast p.4/54 → STATE REPRESENTATIVE DISTRICT 126 (REPUBLICAN PARTY) → FAIRVIEW → Normal = 128 What the poll tape printed
Miles Wirsig — 30 (read by a person from the county's scans)
Official certified result
MILES WIRSIG — 30
Source & location
Election Results 8-4-2026 Official.pdf
Statement of Votes Cast p.6/54 → PRESIDING COMMISSIONER (REPUBLICAN PARTY) → FAIRVIEW → Normal = 30 What the poll tape printed
Quentin Wilson — 18 (read by a person from the county's scans)
Official certified result
QUENTIN WILSON — 18
Source & location
Election Results 8-4-2026 Official.pdf
Statement of Votes Cast p.10/54 → STATE AUDITOR (DEMOCRATIC PARTY) → FAIRVIEW → Normal = 18 What the poll tape printed
Hartzell Gray III — 0 (read by a person from the county's scans)
Official certified result
HARTZELL GRAY III — 0
Source & location
Election Results 8-4-2026 Official.pdf
Statement of Votes Cast p.12/54 → US REPRESENTATIVE DISTRICT 4 (DEMOCRATIC PARTY) → FAIRVIEW → Normal = 0 What the poll tape printed
Randy Miller — 7 (read by a person from the county's scans)
Official certified result
RANDY MILLER — 7
Source & location
Election Results 8-4-2026 Official.pdf
Statement of Votes Cast p.12/54 → US REPRESENTATIVE DISTRICT 4 (DEMOCRATIC PARTY) → FAIRVIEW → Normal = 7 What the poll tape printed
Fred R. Bunch — 24 (read by a person from the county's scans)
Official certified result
FRED R. BUNCH — 24
Source & location
Election Results 8-4-2026 Official.pdf
Statement of Votes Cast p.16/54 → PROSECUTING ATTORNEY (DEMOCRATIC PARTY) → FAIRVIEW → Normal = 24 What the poll tape printed
David Scott Bayless — 37 (read by a person from the county's scans)
Official certified result
DAVID SCOTT BAYLESS — 37
Source & location
Election Results 8-4-2026 Official.pdf
Statement of Votes Cast p.34/54 → FAIRVIEW TOWNSHIP COMMITEEMAN (REPUBLICAN PARTY) → FAIRVIEW → Normal = 37 What the poll tape printed
No — 38 (read by a person from the county's scans)
Official certified result
NO — 38
Source & location
Election Results 8-4-2026 Official.pdf
Statement of Votes Cast p.51/54 → CONSTITUTIONAL AMENDMENT NO. 2 → FAIRVIEW → Normal = 38 These are a representative sample drawn mechanically from the analysis — a fixed stride through the sorted results, or a seeded random draw, never a hand-picked set — so they illustrate the method rather than flatter the outcome. Which method was used is stated above. The complete comparison set, and every difference investigated, are in the full report.